Analyst Zvika Klein thinks regime change will come to Iran only after the hot war is over, and it will be a task for the Iranian people alone to undertake, as they yet again go out into the streets to protest against a regime that is now a shadow of its former self.
The war that the United States and Israel have been conducting against the Islamic Republic of Iran since February 28 with huge success has now been put on pause, for two weeks. We will now see if Iran will do the most important thing it is obligated to do, according to the terms of the ceasefire, and open the Strait of Hormuz. More on what’s been achieved by the U.S. and Israel, and what’s to come inside Iran now that the regime has been so weakened, can be found here: “Israelis wanted the regime to fall. They may have gotten something better – comment,” by Zvika Klein, Jerusalem Post, April 8, 2026:
Everything now turns on the Strait of Hormuz.
In 39 days, the US-Israeli campaign killed Iran’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei, wrecked its ballistic missile infrastructure, and forced a regime that spent decades projecting invincibility to accept a ceasefire brokered by Pakistan.
Human Rights Activists in Iran (HRANA) has confirmed at least 1,221 military deaths. Iran International puts the security forces toll at 4,700. The navy in the Gulf of Oman is finished. The nuclear program has been struck twice in under a year….
The same nuclear sites — at Fordow, Natanz, and in Isfahan — have again been struck by the Americans using bunker-buster bombs, in the hope that those Massive Ordnance Penetrators, now dropped into the craters previously created by the initial bombing of the same sites, will now land directly on top of the nuclear enrichment sites and this time, demolish whatever remains.
The military victory that the US and Israel achieved together in six weeks has been devastating to Iran — with its navy sunk, its air force reduced by many dozens, hundreds of the senior commanders and thousands of its combatants, both in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and in the Basij force, killed — has made the regime much weaker than before. Regime change must now come from inside Iran, from people who, keenly aware of what a battering those forces of repression have taken, are willing to take to the streets again, fortified by defectors from the security services.
Iran is already claiming that the terms of the ceasefire obligate Israel to stop its war against Hezbollah in Lebanon. Both Israel and the U.S. have promptly denied this. And to make that point very clear, within a few hours of the ceasefire’s announcement, for the Israeli pilots and planes, it was still bombs away over Beirut.
Israeli pilots have been operating continuously since October 8, 2023, beginning in Gaza against Hamas, then in addition bombing Lebanon against Hezbollah, and then, in June 2025 and since February 2026, against Iran as well. They are exhausted. Two weeks of a ceasefire, whatever happens at the end of that period, will provide them with what those pilots, and ground crews, all need so badly — a complete rest. The planes, too, can be given a thorough examination to make sure that they are in perfect shape to resume their tasks when either the Iranians violate the ceasefire terms, or when the ceasefire comes to its natural end after two weeks.
At the end of this two-week ceasefire, the final terms that are agreed upon must include a halt to Hormuz being weaponized. If Iran fails to yield on this central demand, the military victory that the U.S. and Israel have achieved since February 28 will soon lose its efficacy. It will be back to more battering of Iran with no guarantee that the fanatics in Iran, who are willing to see their country destroyed, can be made to relinquish their stranglehold of the Strait of Hormuz.
Trump and Netanyahu did not tear down the Islamic Republic. They made it impossible to maintain. Whether the walls actually fall depends on what happens inside Iran, and on whether the diplomacy in Pakistan is prosecuted with the same nerve as the war. The operation was a success. The recovery is someone else’s fight.
That “someone” is the people of Iran. After 47 years of enduring oppression, this is their chance.
Walter Sieruk says
Those ayatollahs mullahs and the other Muslim despots in tyrannical control in that Islamic regime of Iran terribly oppress the Iranian people through their thugs in uniform who are called the “Islamic Revolutionary guards.’
Therefore, it’s no wonder that the people of Iran are celebrating that they are free of those tyrants in power in Iran. Nevertheless, because the that “mullah regime’s Islamic state police, Revolutionary guards, many Iranians still live in fear of those Muslim dictators of that Islamic tyranny.
As Benjamin Franklin in his periodical entitled POOR RICHARD’S ALMANAC printed “For it reads “Those who are feared are also hated. “Nevertheless, there are limits to how far fear can suppress a terribly abused and oppressed people.
For the Iranian people had “reached a point where fear is no longer a deterrent” In high-level meetings, official regime official said. As revealed in this jihad watch article. He also remarked that the “People are extremely angry,” he said, adding a US attack could lead Iranians to rise up again. “The wall of fear has collapsed. There is no fear left.”
For that tyrant Ayatollah Khamenei when he was alive and in power ,was an enemy the Iranian people, through that misery and death inflecting horrific Islamic tyranny of Iran, which is evil in sense of that word, he pushes the people too far. Therefore, that Islamic tyranny should be and needs to be overthrown and replaced with a genuine government which respects and safeguards that natural human rights and freedom which of the people should of Iran have.
In other words, the Iranians do have every right to overthrow that brutal malicious murderous tyrannical Islamic regime of Iran, and then establish a legitimate, genuine, government that ensures and respects the basic human rights of its citizens
Therefore, it’s fitting to relate to the concepts, precepts and guidelines of the Intellect philosopher John Locke, His basic principles. very much apply to this situation in Iran.
For Mr. Locke taught that any good government has the duty to ensure the security and safety of its citizens, So the people under the bondage and oppression of a tyrannical government do have every natural and ethical right to overthrow that terrible and oppressive tyrannical government.
Walter Sieruk says
That horrifically, cruel oppressive malicious and murderous Islamic regime of Iran, denies the Iranian, people their basic natural human rights. As in consequence the people of Iran would and should revolt against that viciously brutal tyrannical “’mullah regime” of Iran.
Accordingly, the Iranian people are right and righteous by engaging in bitter and strong protests against those cruel malicious and murderous tyrants in power of that cruel and oppressive Sharia based dictatorship of that Islamic regime of Iran.
In other words, those vicious despots of that horrendously horrific Islamic regime have provoked the people excessively too far. For the Iranians do have every right to overthrow that brutal malicious murderous tyrannical Islamic regime of Iran, and then establish a legitimate, genuine, government that ensures and respects the basic human rights of its citizens
In relation of all this , some of the people who trapped in and forced to exist in the Islamic dictatorship of Iran the intellect philosopher John Locke, but his ideas do apply to them. For Mr. Locke taught that any good government has the duty to ensure the security and safety of its citizens. Yet when a tyranny is the people in the tyrannical government do have every natural and ethical right to overthrow that terrible and oppressive tyrannical government.
Walter Sieruk says
About that Sharia based tyrannical Islamic regime of Iran which has the official title of “The Islamic Republic of Iran” and also about the chief and head Imam, Ayatollah Khomeini, who had a strong hand in establishing this so called “Republic “
The very actual essence of that Islamic tyranny, Ayatollah Khomeini, had made in known that “The Islamic Republic of Iran would be Islamic and nothing but .He declared ‘What the nation wants is an Islamic Republic. Not just a Republic, not a democratic Republic, not a democratic Islamic Republic. Do not use the word “democratic” to describe it. That is the Western style. ‘” [1]
Furthermore, that cruel and tyrannical Islamic regime of Iran regime has severely limited to an extreme much knowledge and wisdom from the outside world. This is because that fiendish and murderous ayatollahs and mullahs in power in Iran are very much afraid the Iranian people might discover different ideas. As the idea’s and philosophy of John Locke
For example, Locke views the people living under any genuine government are people retaining their individual rights after a government has been established to protect human rights. . In other words, the securing of their rights – the protection of the life, liberty and property of all – is the sole legitimate purpose of government. If a government begins to abuse those rights it then becomes tyrannical and the governed [the people] retain the right to overthrow that government and replace it with one that does its job properly.
So that heinous”mullah regime” of Iran, greatly fears such ideas and keeps the people under his hideous control of his tyranny in and the darkness of much limited information.
[1]`THE HISTORY OF JIHAD by Robert Spencer, page 318.
James Lincoln says
The resistance will need weapons.
John Smith says
Zvika Klein thinks that regime change will come to Iran only after the hot war is over. Well as much as I would like to agree with you Mr Klein unfortunately that is not going to happen. As I have stated from the very beginning of this conflict regime change will not happen, how do I know this, as I don’t have any divine wisdom, but the Biblical prophets did.
Almost 3000 years ago the priest Ezekiel told us exactly what will happen. He prophesied that Israel would be attacked by a coalition of nations (many if not all being islamic) some of the nations that attack Israel will be Put (Libya), Cush ( Sudan) Beth Togarmah (Turkey) and of course Persia which is modern day Iran.
If this prophecy is to be fulfilled ( which it most certainly will) Iran will not become a secular state and this evil satanic regime will remain in power.
PRCS USN (ret) says
And now, here in the real world…..
John Smith says
Please explain what you mean “And now, here in the real world.”
somehistory says
John, as he likes so much to do, he’s mocking you and your Christian belief in God and His Word.
His comments add nothing and are not worth reading, in my opinion.
John Smith says
Thank you Somehistory
PRCS USN (ret) says
Quite simply John, your fantasy is just that.
To assert a 3000+ year old prophecy “tells us exactly what will happen” is on par with palm reading.
Eight billion people follow 4,000 religions–and none–on this 4+ billion year old planet.
Even your pal gets it tight: it’s a belief.
John Smith says
PRCS
You don’t know what you’re talking about, because a 3000 year old prophecy does tell us exactly what will happen, and to compare Biblical prophecy with palm reading is just ludicrous.There are approximately 2,500 prophecies in the Bible of which 2000 have been fulfilled with 100% accuracy. There are hundreds of prophecies in the Old Testament regarding the Messiah detailing his birth, life, death and resurrection.
Zechariah 11:12-13 predicted that the Messiah would be betrayed for thirty pieces of silver and the money would be used to buy a potter’s field. This prophecy was fulfilled 600 years later when Judas betrayed Jesus for 30 pieces of silver and the money went to buy a potter’s field. I could name many more but this is just one small example.
PRCS USN (ret) says
And I’m descended from a guy’s rib.
PRCS USN (ret) says
And right now, I’m wearing a garment made from a mixture of wool and linen.
Alkflaeda says
That assumes that we know the timing of the fulfilment of prophecy, though.
somehistory says
Jesus Himself told us how to know ….If you read what He told His apostles about the “fig tree” and about the “great tribulation.’
We can not know, at this time, the “day and hour” but we are not left without sign posts to read and to know that the “end of all things has drawn close.”
PRCS USN (ret) says
Blah, blah, blah.
WE cannot know.
Blah, blah, blah.
John Smith says
Your right It’s best to ignore him and his comments. He’s a pathetic rude idiot that knows nothing, but believes himself to be some sort of smart arse. infact pathetic is to kind of a word to describe him.
somehistory says
John, thank you. I agree and have found that it’s best to just ignore his snide, snarky remarks.
PRCS USN (ret) says
The easiest way to avoid those responses is to not post the kind of ridiculous religious mumbo jumbo that elicits them.
Alkflaeda says
That assumes that we know the time when the prophecy will come about, though.
John Smith says
Alkflaeda
As Somehistory has pointed out we are never told the exact time, but we are given certain clues. I believe the Hebrew calendar could give us a clue as to when these things will come to pass. You see the Hebrew calendar is like no other it’s a spiritual calendar, based on the time God took to create the universe, and our world. It took God six days to create everything and on the seventh day he rested. Now the date on the Hebrew calendar is 5786, and every thousand years represents a day that God took to create the universe. So all these prophecies will be fulfilled before we reach the year 6000. After the year 6000 we enter Messianic period (the day that God rested) and there will be 1000 years of peace.
PRCS USN (ret) says
whew!
OLD GUY says
I hope the Iranian people make a good choice, and find peace and prosperity with thee rest of the world.