Hugh Fitzgerald covered Wyner’s findings here, but given the lies that are being disseminated everywhere, they’re worth revisiting.
“Wharton Professor: Gaza Death Numbers Are Fake,” by Eric Mack, Newsmax, March 10, 2024:
The media, led by The Associated Press and Reuters in Gaza, have continued to push the Hamas-run Health Ministry death totals — even the Biden administration up to the president has picked them up — but a Wharton professor says the numbers are a fraud.
“Here’s the problem with this data: The numbers are not real,” wrote Abraham Wyner, professor of statistics and data science at The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, in a Wednesday article for Tablet.
“That much is obvious to anyone who understands how naturally occurring numbers work. The casualties are not overwhelmingly women and children, and the majority may be Hamas fighters,” he continued.
“If Hamas’ numbers are faked or fraudulent in some way, there may be evidence in the numbers themselves that can demonstrate it.”
Looking at the daily graphing of the Hamas terrorist-provided numbers, there is just too much uniformity to the increases for them to be reliable, according to Wyner.
“This regularity is almost surely not real,” he wrote. “One would expect quite a bit of variation day to day.
“In fact, the daily reported casualty count over this period averages 270 plus or minus about 15%. This is strikingly little variation. There should be days with twice the average or more and others with half or less.
“Perhaps what is happening is the Gaza ministry is releasing fake daily numbers that vary too little because they do not have a clear understanding of the behavior of naturally occurring numbers.
“Unfortunately, verified control data is not available to formally test this conclusion, but the details of the daily counts render the numbers suspicious.”
But the Biden administration seems to buy what Hamas is sharing, as both President Joe Biden and Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin have cited the Hamas numbers approaching 30,000 deaths since Oct. 7.
And the fact Hamas claims it is women and child being killed is equally unreliable, according to Wharton, who noted the daily totals track too statistically close to the total deaths claimed.
“We should see variation in the number of child casualties that tracks the variation in the number of women,” Wyner wrote. “This is because the daily variation in death counts is caused by the variation in the number of strikes on residential buildings and tunnels which should result in considerable variability in the totals but less variation in the percentage of deaths across groups….
somehistory says
The book of evil demon filth, tells mozlums, commands and demands them, to lie.
Who can trust a person who has been taught that lying is beneficial, a good thing, is commanded to lie?
Get a group of these liars together, and with a purpose….make Israel seem really, really bad and evil and corrupt and genocidal to the whole world…and the lies will pour forth like an overloaded sewer full of rats and disgusting debris.
libertyORdeath says
The use of “data” from a terrorist group instead of the fairly accurate numbers from our purported ally is unprecedented.
I keep asking this…how is this happening? How is the PROPAGANDA so coordinated? Why is the supposedly Jewish owned media running this psyop on behalf of Hamas and their UN comrades?
This is so dangerous that I can’t even describe it sufficiently. Is this the beta test of the destruction of sovereignty? Is this the same psyop they will eventually run against US?